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IU football’s 2023 win total over/under against nation’s tenth toughest schedule

Sports book DraftKings has released win total estimates for the 14 teams in the Big Ten in 2023.

The headline will come as little surprise — Michigan and Ohio State lead the way when it comes to win total over/under estimates.  The rivals have won the last six Big Ten Championship Games and represented two of the four teams in last year’s College Football Playoff.

The Wolverines and Buckeyes opened with a projected win total of 10.5.

Penn State is where they have been lately — right behind Michigan and OSU in the top-heavy East Division.  Their over/under set at 9.5.

Wisconsin is the projected top team in the West under the direction of new head coach Luke Fickell.  The win over/under for the Badgers is set at nine.

Here are the win total odds for Big Ten teams in 2023 according to DraftKings.

  • Michigan Wolverines – 10.5
  • Ohio State Buckeyes – 10.5
  • Penn State Nittany Lions – 9.5
  • Wisconsin Badgers – 9
  • Iowa Hawkeyes – 7.5
  • Maryland Terrapins – 7
  • Illinois Fighting Illini – 6.5
  • Minnesota Golden Gophers – 6.5
  • Nebraska Cornhuskers – 6
  • Michigan State Spartans – 5.5
  • Purdue Boilermakers – 5.5
  • Rutgers Scarlet Knights – 4.5
  • Indiana Hoosiers – 3.5
  • Northwestern Wildcats – 3.5


The last year of the current divisional scheduling format in the Big Ten projects to deliver the same thing for Indiana that it has since its inception.


According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, IU will have the tenth most difficult schedule in the country in 2023.  That of course is fueled in large part by Indiana’s annual meetings with Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan, the latter two of which come on the road this year.  The Hoosiers have a grand total of three wins over those three teams since Penn State joined the Big Ten in 1990.

If it’s any solace, the three teams in the East that IU typically has the best chance to pass in the standings project to have even more difficult schedules.

Maryland has the fourth toughest slate in the country according to the ESPN FPI, followed by Michigan State at No. 7 and Rutgers at No. 9.

Often what separates the bottom four of the division is where they play each other, and who they play from the West.

IU is hosting Michigan State and Rutgers this year, while traveling to Maryland.  The Michigan State and Rutgers games at home will be critical for Indiana.

The last turn of the current scheduling format has the East division traveling to the West for two of the three cross-divisional contests, which makes things even more challenging this year.  Here is who IU, Maryland, Rutgers and Michigan State face from the West this year:

  • Indiana:  at Purdue, at Illinois, vs. Wisconsin
  • Maryland:  at Northwestern, at Nebraska, vs. Illinois
  • Rutgers:  at Wisconsin, at Iowa, vs. Northwestern
  • Michigan State:  at Iowa, at Minnesota, vs. Nebraska.

Indiana’s full 2023 schedule is below.

Sept. 2 – Ohio State
Sept. 8 – Indiana State
Sept. 16 – vs. Louisville (Lucas Oil Stadium)
Sept. 23 – Akron
Sept. 30 – at Maryland
Oct. 7 – OPEN
Oct. 14 – at Michigan
Oct. 21 – Rutgers
Oct. 28 – at Penn State
Nov. 4 – Wisconsin
Nov. 11 – at Illinois
Nov. 18 – Michigan State
Nov. 25 – at Purdue

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