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    IU football game day: Maryland at Indiana primer and prediction

    Mike SchumannBy IU Football No Comments
    Photo credit - Hoosiers Connect

    Another week, and another major milestone is possible for Indiana.

    With a win on Saturday in Bloomington, the Hoosiers can claim their first 5-0 start since the 1967 Rose Bowl season.

    But standing in their way is a good Maryland team that has had Indiana’s number lately.

    Here’s everything you need to know about Indiana’s week five contest against the Terps.

    MARYLAND (3-1, 0-1) at INDIANA (4-0, 1-0)

    • Kickoff:  Noon ET, Saturday
    • Location:  Bloomington, Ind., Memorial Stadium (52,626; field turf)
    • Television: BTN — Jeff Levering (pbp), Jake Butt (analyst), Brooke Fletcher (sideline)
    • Stream:  Fox Sports
    • Radio:  IU Football radio network
    • Odds:  Indiana is a 7-point favorite
    • Weather at kickoff:  66 degrees, rain, wind 10 mph, 94% chance of precipitation.
    • Series:  Indiana leads 7-5
    • The Coaches:
      • Curt Cignetti is in his first year as the head coach at IU.  He holds a 123-35 record in his 14th season as a college head coach.
      • Mike Locksley is 34-60 over his nine year career as a head coach, including 32-34 in six years at Maryland.

    IU Football Week Five Coverage

    TALE OF THE TAPE 

    THE COMPLETE BIG TEN WEEK FIVE SLATE

    FRIDAY, SEPT. 27
    Washington at Rutgers 8 p.m. FOX

    SATURDAY, SEPT. 28
    Maryland at Indiana 12 p.m. Big Ten Network
    Minnesota at Michigan 12 p.m. FOX
    Nebraska at Purdue (HC) 12 p.m. Peacock
    Wisconsin at USC 3:30 p.m. CBS
    Ohio State at Michigan State 7 p.m. Peacock
    Illinois at Penn State (HC) 7:30 p.m. NBC
    Oregon at UCLA 11 p.m. FOX

    MARYLAND 2024 RESULTS

    AUGUST
    31 Sat. UCONN W, 50-7

    SEPTEMBER
    7 Sat. MICHIGAN STATE L, 24-27
    14 Sat. at Virginia W, 27-13
    21 Sat. VILLANOVA W, 38-20

    MARYLAND NOTES AND NUMBERS

    • Dating back to the 2021 season, the Terps have won three straight against the Hoosiers (two in College Park and one in Bloomington). Maryland has scored at least 38 points in all three of those matchups, highlighted by a 44-17 win at SECU Stadium last year. It’s the Terrapins’ longest streak of games scoring 38+ points against a single opponent since a four-game streak against Duke between 1982 & 1985.
    • Billy Edwards Jr. made a massive impact against the Hoosiers in 2022, coming in to replace an injured Taulia Tagovailoa late in a close game and engineering two scoring drives in the final seven minutes of the game to lead the Terps to a 38-33 road victory. Maryland took a commanding 38-27 lead as Edwards scored on a three-yard touchdown run with 2:11 left in the game. Edwards ran for 53 yards, all in the decisive final minutes. RB Roman Hemby also rushed for 107 yards in the contest.
    • In 2023, Tai Felton made history against Indiana when he hauled in three first-half touchdown receptions, as part of career-highs (at the time) of seven catches and 134 yards. Felton became the first Terp in program history to have three receiving touchdowns in the first half.
    • Through four games, senior WR Felton has 41 receptions, 604 receiving yards and five receiving touchdowns. Those totals rank second, third and tied for fourth in the nation, respectively. Furthermore, Felton leads the Big Ten in receptions and receiving yards and is tied for second in the league in receiving touchdowns. He has 14 more receptions and 262 more yards than the next closest Big Ten receiver in both categories.
    • Through four games, Edwards has completed 102 of his 136 pass attempts. His 75.0 completion percentage ranks fifth in the nation. Edwards has thrown for 1,155 yards and has accounted for 10 total touchdowns. He leads the Big Ten in completions and passing yards, while tying for second in the league in passing touchdowns (8).
    • Through four games, Maryland is tied for the best turnover margin (+7) in the Big Ten (Illinois, Indiana).
    • So far this season, the Terps have had 11 scoring drives of 75+ yards–on pace for a total of 33. That number ranks second in the Big Ten (Penn State – 12) and seventh among power conference teams.
    • Maryland is averaging 73.0 offensive plays per game, which is the second most in the Big Ten this season (Wisconsin – 74.0). Last season, the Terrapins averaged 66.0 plays per game on offense, which was sixth in the conference.
    • Dating back to last season, Maryland has won three straight road games, its longest road win streak since a three-gamer spanning 2015 & 2016. The last longer road win streak for the Terps was a five-game streak from November 2013-September 2014.

    PREDICTIONS

    With wind and rain expected to be a factor throughout, the weather will be a big wildcard in this game.  Both teams have thrived this season with healthy turnover margins.  Whichever squad holds that advantage on Saturday likely comes out on top.

    TDH PREDICTION:  INDIANA 28  MARYLAND 20

    • ESPN SP+ (Computer):  Indiana 27 Maryland 22 (61% win probability)
    • ESPN FPI (Computer):  Indiana has a 66.9% chance to win.

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