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    The Daily Hoosier

    IU football game day: Indiana vs. Oregon CFP/Peach Bowl primer and prediction

    Mike SchumannBy Mike SchumannJanuary 9, 2026 IU Football 22 Comments
    Photo by Seth Tow for TDH
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    An appearance in the national championship game is on the line.

    Who is going to take on Miami on its home field Jan. 19 for all the marbles?

    One Big Ten team will have a chance to represent the league and bring home a third straight national title for the conference.  Will be it be Indiana or Oregon?  It’s going to take a rematch to find out.

    Here’s everything you need to know about Indiana’s CFP semifinal opponent and the Peach Bowl.


    No. 1 INDIANA (14-0) vs. No. 5 OREGON (13-1)

    • Kickoff:  7:40 p.m. ET, Friday
    • Location:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium (71,000, field turf)
    • Television:  ESPN — Sean McDonough (pbp), Greg McElRoy (analyst), Laura Rutledge & Molly McGrath (sideline)
    • Stream:  ESPN
    • Radio:  IU Football radio network
    • Odds:  Indiana is around a 3.5-point favorite
    • Weather at kickoff:  Indoors
    • Series:  Tied 2-2 (Indiana won last meeting 30-20 on Oct. 11)
    • Tickets:  Use our StubHub affiliate link
    • The Coaches:
      • Curt Cignetti is in his second year as the head coach at IU.  He holds a 144-37 record in his 15th season as a college head coach.  He’s 25-2 at Indiana.
      • Dan Lanning is in his 4th season as head coach, all with Oregon.  His record is 48-7.

    A rematch for the right to move on. pic.twitter.com/2kK0B9mlz5

    — Indiana Football (@IndianaFootball) January 9, 2026

    TALE OF THE TAPE 

    OREGON RESULTS

    Date Time At Opponent Location Result
    Aug 30 (Sat) 1:00 PM Home Montana State Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 59-13
    Sep 6 (Sat) 12:30 PM Home Oklahoma State Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 69-3
    Sep 13 (Sat) 9:00 AM Away Northwestern Evanston, IL W 34-14
    Sep 20 (Sat) 12:00 PM Home Oregon State Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 41-7
    Sep 27 (Sat) 4:30 PM Away #3 Penn State University Park, PA W 30-24
    Oct 11 (Sat) 12:30 PM Home #7 Indiana Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) L 20-30
    Oct 18 (Sat) 3:30 PM Away Rutgers Piscataway, NJ W 56-10
    Oct 25 (Sat) 4:00 PM Home Wisconsin Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 21-7
    Nov 8 (Sat) 12:30 PM Away #20 Iowa Iowa City, IA W 18-16
    Nov 14 (Fri) 6:00 PM Home Minnesota Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 42-13
    Nov 22 (Sat) 12:30 PM Home USC Eugene, Ore. (Autzen Stadium) W 42-27
    Nov 29 (Sat) 12:30 PM Away Washington Seattle, WA W 26-14
    Dec 20 (Sat) 4:30 PM Home #24 James Madison Eugene, Ore. W 51-34
    Jan 1 (Thu) 9:00 AM Neutral #4 Texas Tech Miami, Fla. W 23-0

    OREGON NOTES AND NUMBERS

    Three reasons why Indiana beat Oregon in October:

    1. Productive pass rush.  Indiana’s defensive front had a big challenge ahead on Saturday against a strong Oregon offensive line. And the Hoosiers made things happen up front. IU finished the game with six sacks and four QB hurries. Linebacker Isaiah Jones recorded one of each, and added a second tackle for loss. Linebacker Aiden Fisher and defensive end Kellan Wyatt each posted a team-high 1.5 sacks. Bryant Haines’ defense was persistent all day, putting frequent pressure on Oregon quarterback Dante Moore. It played a huge role in the outcome.

    2. IU offense never blinked.  The Hoosiers went blow for blow with one of the best teams in the country on Saturday. Oregon came up with several big moments that put pressure on Curt Cignetti’s team, including a long touchdown pass in the first quarter and a pick six early in the fourth quarter. But Indiana got right back up every time. The Hoosiers answered both of those touchdowns on their next drive, with touchdowns of their own — and they answered a third quarter Oregon field goal with another score.

    3. IU’s biggest playmakers stole the show.  With so much star power on the field on both sides, it was Indiana’s playmakers who came up the biggest. Roman Hemby and Kaelon Black wore down the UO defense and Hemby punched in two short-yardage touchdowns. Fernando Mendoza orchestrated so many clutch drives and big moments. Elijah Sarratt got open in those big spots and made things happen, the way he so often does. Fisher was all over the field defensively. Louis Moore came down with a tipped ball interception in the fourth quarter that helped IU extend the lead. Jones picked off Dante Moore to seal it. The Hoosiers stepped up in every department.

    MORE COVERAGE

    For complete coverage of IU football, GO HERE.

    • ‘A very delicate balance’: Indiana-Oregon rematch in Peach Bowl sets up high-level coaching chess match
    • Watch: IU coach Curt Cignetti, Oregon’s Dan Lanning joint Q&A ahead of Peach Bowl
    • Watch: IU football’s Mendoza, Fisher, Coogan and Ponds Peach Bowl arrival Q&As
    • What Oregon players said about Indiana football ahead of the Peach Bowl
    • Watch: IU football coordinators Bryant Haines and Mike Shanahan preview Peach Bowl
    • Can IU football beat Oregon twice in one season? Recent college football rematch trends show mixed results
    • Peach Bowl injury report: No surprises for IU football, key Oregon player out

    PREDICTIONS

    There’s talent all over the field and very few weaknesses on either side.

    These kind of games come down to explosive plays, turnovers and special teams — and clutch plays in the fourth quarter.  Indiana had more answers in those categories in a tough environment at Oregon three months ago.

    They should have enough once again in more friendly confines in Atlanta.

    TDH PREDICTION:  INDIANA 24 OREGON 17

    • ESPN SP+ (Computer) likes Indiana by 3.0 points.
    • ESPN FPI (Computer):  Indiana has a 70.4% chance to win.

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    Related

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    Mike Schumann

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