IU football game day: Indiana at Oregon primer and prediction

The eyes of the college football world are fixed on Indiana once again.

And with big games come big opportunities.

A clear return path to the College Football Playoff?  A great chance to reach the Big Ten championship game?  It’s still early in the season, but it’s all there with a win on Saturday.  But this opponent, in this venue?  The task hasn’t been taller this season.

Here’s everything you need to know about Indiana’s week seven matchup against Oregon in Eugene.

No. 7 INDIANA (5-0, 2-0) at No. 2/3 OREGON (5-0, 2-0)

• Kickoff:  3:40 p.m. ET, Saturday
• Location:  Eugene, Ore.; Autzen Stadium (54,000; field turf)
• Television:  CBS — Brad Nessler (pbp), Gary Danielson (color), Jenny Dell (sideline)
• Stream:  CBS/Paramount
• Radio:  IU Football radio network
• Odds:  Oregon is around a 7.5-point favorite
• Weather at kickoff:  56 degrees, cloudy/showers, wind 8 mph, 30% chance of precipitation.
• Series:  Oregon leads the series 2-1.
• Tickets:  Use our StubHub affiliate link
• The Coaches:
  • Curt Cignetti is in his second year as the head coach at IU.  He holds a 135-37 record in his 15th season as a college head coach.  He’s 16-2 at Indiana.
  • Dan Lanning is 40-6 in four years, all at Oregon.

Another opportunity to play our game. pic.twitter.com/GTlNgmxIbB

— Indiana Football (@IndianaFootball) October 11, 2025

TALE OF THE TAPE 

THE COMPLETE BIG TEN WEEK SEVEN SLATE

OREGON RESULTS

OREGON NOTES AND NUMBERS

(Via Oregon Athletics)

Oregon and Indiana will square off for the first time since the Hoosiers beat the Ducks in Eugene in 2004. Oregon will also play at the site of ESPN’s “College GameDay” pregame show for the second straight game as the show makes it 13th all-time appearance in Eugene. The Ducks are 20-13 all-time and 9-3 at home when featured by “College GameDay,” and Autzen Stadium will host a top-10 matchup for the eighth time in stadium history.

A Win Would…
» Be Oregon’s second straight over a top-10 team, 36th all-time and 17th inside Autzen Stadium.
» Extend the nation’s longest active regular-season winning streak to 24 games, and the nation’s longest active home winning streak to 19 games.
» Make Oregon 6-0 to start the season for the second year in a row and fifth time since 2010.
» Improve UO to 12-0 all-time in Big Ten play.

Home Cookin’
Oregon has been one of the most dominant teams in the nation at home over the last decade-plus, and the Ducks put together a perfect 7-0 home slate for the second year in a row in 2024. It was Oregon’s fifth undefeated regular season at home since 2019 and 12th in program history, and the Ducks’ wins over Montana State, Oklahoma State and Oregon State to open 2025 extended their home winning streak to 18 games dating back to the 2022 season, the longest active home winning streak in the nation and fifth-longest home winning streak in program history. Oregon is 41-1 (.976) at home since an overtime loss to Stanford on Sept. 22, 2018, a span that included 23 straight home wins to match the longest home win streak in program history. UO is 50-3 (.943) at home since the start of the 2017 season, boasting the nation’s third-best win percentage and tied for fifth-most wins during that time.

Scoring At Will
Oregon’s offense has been among the most dominant in the nation since HC Dan Lanning took over in 2022, and the Ducks have kept up that reputation early on in 2025. Oregon followed up its 59-point output vs. Montana State in the season opener with a 69-point explosion against Oklahoma State in Week 2, scoring 50-plus points in back-to-back games for the first time under Lanning and first time since the first two games of 2018. Outside of an end-of-game kneel down in the season opener, Oregon scored touchdowns on 16 of its first 21 drives to begin 2025, with nine offensive touchdowns against Montana State and eight against Oklahoma State. The Ducks have scored at least 30 points in all five games this season after their 30-24, double-overtime win at Penn State, their 30th 30-plus point performance in their last 33 contests since the start of 2023.

» Oregon is one of seven schools with multiple games of 59-plus points this season, and one of 12 to have scored at least 30 points at least five times.
» UO is No. 6 nationally with 46.6 points per game; one of seven schools averaging at least 45.0 PPG.
» Oregon is tied for No. 6 nationally with 31 total touchdowns scored; Vanderbilt leads the FBS with 35.
» The Ducks have scored points on all 23 of their red-zone opportunities, second-most among teams scoring on 100 percent of chances, while coming away with 19 touchdowns.
» UO is ninth nationally in total yards per game (503.8) and eighth in total yards per play (7.47).
» Oregon ranks 11th nationally in rushing yards per game (239.40) and 40th in passing yards per game (264.4).
» Oregon’s 29 offensive touchdowns have come from 10 different players; tied for 15th in rushing touchdowns (15).

Quarterback Dante Moore was selected as the Big Ten Co-Offensive Player of the Week for his performance at Penn State. Moore has been terrific through five games as Oregon’s starter, completing 100-of-134 passes for 1,210 yards and 14 touchdowns with just one interception.

Moore has developed a quick connection with true freshman WR Dakorien Moore. A five-star recruit, Moore has wasted no time while starting each of the first five games for the Ducks and leading the team with 19 receptions for 296 yards while catching two touchdown passes.

Oregon has been terrific up front once again so far in 2025, tying for the national lead with just one sack allowed while ranking second in fewest tackles for losses allowed (12). UO has surrendered just 17 total pressures through five games.

Relentless D
Oregon is tied for fourth nationally with just seven total touchdowns allowed this season (tied for third in the Big Ten) and its two passing touchdowns allowed are tied for fifth-fewest in the country (tied for third in the Big Ten). UO currently is tied for sixth in the country in scoring defense at just 12.2 points allowed per game, which ranks third in the Big Ten, holding each of its first four opponents to 14 points or fewer after doing so seven times in 2024.

MORE COVERAGE

• Three key matchups for IU football in top-10 battle at Oregon

• IU football notebook: Hoosiers prepping for Lanning, Moore, and Oregon

• IU football: Curt Cignetti says D’Angelo Ponds will play at Oregon on Saturday

PREDICTIONS

Something has to give with two perfect records on the line.

If Indiana can avoid special teams mishaps and explosive Oregon plays, they’ll hang in this one to the end.

Indiana has the personnel to be highly competitive in this game.  But it still might not be enough.

TDH PREDICTION:  OREGON 27  INDIANA 24

• ESPN SP+ (Computer):  Oregon 28 Indiana 22 (35% win probability for IU)
• ESPN FPI (Computer):  Indiana has a 32.2% chance to win.

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