The fourth edition of the College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings and bracket release is coming on Tuesday evening.
After their first loss of the season, it seems clear Indiana is about to move down from the No. 5 spot they’ve occupied for the last two weeks.
Here are 19 projections for IU football by well known national outlets ahead of the fourth rankings and bracket reveal. As a reminder further below are the rules for the 2024 CFP selection and bracketing process.
The fourth CFP rankings and bracket reveal show will air live Tuesday at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.
CURT CIGNETTI’S TAKE
IU coach Curt Cignetti met with the media on Monday. He didn’t offer much as it relates to the CFP, but he did say this:
“The only thing I’m going to say today is we’re sitting in a good spot,” he said. “But we’ve got to take care of business. That’s that.”
CFP PREDICTIONS FOR INDIANA AHEAD OF FOURTH RANKINGS REVEAL ON NOV. 26:
The following are bracket seed predictions, not rankings. A rule that requires four conference champions occupy the top four seeds can cause a team to be seeded worse than their ranking.
No one has Indiana hosting a first round game as a No. 5 through 8 seed:
On3: 10
CBS Sports: 9
Pat Forde/SI: 11
NBC Sports: 10
Brett McMurphy/Action Network: 10
The Athletic/NY Times: 9
ESPN has 13 different staff members making projections of the field:
Andrea Adelson: 11
Kyle Bonagura: 9
Bill Connelly: 9
David Hale: OUT
Eli Lederman: 10
Chris Low: 10
Harry Lyles Jr.: 9
Max Olson: 9
Adam Rittenberg: 10
Mark Schlabach: 11
Jake Trotter: 11
Paolo Uggetti: 9
Dave Wilson: 11
Summary of projections:
High – No. 9
Low – OUT
Average – No. 10
THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT THE 2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF
- The CFP rankings are independently determined by a committee and not in any way based the AP Poll, Coaches Poll, etc.
- The top four seeds go to the highest-ranked conference champions, with a fifth conference champion making the bracket too.
- The top four seeds get a bye.
- The fifth conference champion will be seeded where it was ranked or at No. 12 if it is outside the top 12 rankings. Non-conference champions ranked in the top four will be seeded beginning at No. 5. Because of this, the seeding, 1 through 12, could look different than the final rankings.
- First round games will be played on campus, and hosted by the team with the better seed (i.e. No. 5 hosts No. 12, and so on).
- The selection committee will assign the four highest-ranked conference champions to Playoff Quarterfinals hosted by bowls. This will be done in consideration of historic bowl relationships, then in consideration of rankings. For example, if the Sugar Bowl hosts a Playoff Quarterfinal and the SEC champion is ranked No. 1 and the Big 12 champion is ranked No. 3, the SEC champion would be assigned to the Sugar Bowl and the Big 12 champion would be assigned elsewhere.
- With the four highest-ranked conference champions assigned to bowls, their four Playoff Quarterfinal opponents will be dictated by the bracket (i.e., No. 1 vs. No. 8/9 winner, No. 4 vs. No. 5/12 winner, No. 2 vs. 7/10 winner; No. 3 vs. 6/11 winner.)
- The College Football Playoff bracket will follow the selection committee’s rankings, with no modifications made to avoid rematches between teams that may have played during the regular season or are from the same conference.
- The bracket will remain in effect throughout the playoff (i.e., no re-seeding).
- The highest seed will receive preferential placement for the Playoff Semifinal bowl assignment.
- The final CFP rankings will be released on Dec. 8, following the conference championship games.
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